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Wednesday, May 20, 2026

SPX Update: First Downside Targets Captured

SPX captured Friday and Monday's first downside target zones:


Right now, there are wide error bars on a potential 2/B, given the structure.  Essentially, a potential 2/B ranges from "already basically done" all the way up to "rough retest of the all-time high."  Sorry I can't be more precise than that given what's on the charts at the moment:


In conclusion, the odds are better than 50% that we now have an impulsive decline in place, though I can't entirely rule out an ABC structure.  Assuming it is an impulsive decline, we should see at least one more leg down of roughly equal length -- or much greater, if that's nested within a still-larger developing impulse.  Trade safe.

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