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Monday, May 19, 2025

SPX, COMPQ Updates

After the close on Friday, Moody's downgraded the USA's credit rating from AAA to "junk" status (okay, maybe that's an exaggeration), causing futures to drop a bit.  This isn't the first time a major agency has downgraded US debt (I recall this happening in 2011 as well) -- "the US debt trajectory is unsustainable" is hardly breaking news to anyone.

But it will be interesting to see if this ends up being just a hiccup (probably), or the start of a more significant turn.  Note the chart below:



COMPQ is still below its next resistance zone:




Near term -- IF this is a bull wave -- SPX has a couple ways to approach it:




The chart below pairs with the near-term chart above:


In conclusion, this will be an interesting test of bulls' resolve here.  Trade safe.

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