Amazon

Monday, July 13, 2026

SPX and NYA: The B-Movie Market

SPX finally invalidated the triangle option as drawn, so at least that's progress of a sort:


We haven't looked at the big picture chart in a month and a half, primarily because there's been nothing to update:


NYA is still roughly in the same place (structurally) that it was on Friday:


Other than the triangle invalidating, there's not a lot to talk about -- for the near-term, it remains a Harlequin Romance "will they/won't they?" market for the moment.  Basically, bears need to stop the rally and develop a new near-term impulsive decline fairly soon.  If they can't, then we're dealing with an expanded flat (if the market makes new highs then reverses in a c-wave decline) or watching a new minute-level bull nest develop in SPX -- both options would be decidedly bullish at higher degree, one just takes an indirect route.  Bears would need to reverse this shy of the all-time high to keep anything other than short-term options open.  Trade safe.

No comments:

Post a Comment