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Wednesday, April 20, 2016

SPX, NYA, COMPQ Updates


What is there to say about this market at this point?  Nothing really, except things like "Stocks have reached a permanently high plateau," and so forth.  So far, the market has powered through every resistance zone, and continued capturing its upside "if/then" breakout targets.

NYA captured its breakout target:


COMPQ is also testing its upside target from a month ago:


Thus, COMPQ and NYA are now testing resistance.  SPX and INDU are close to their all-time highs, so there too, we have a test of resistance underway.  From a technical standpoint, the all-time highs are much more important resistance zones than any the rally has encountered thus far, so we're into "make or break" territory for bears. 

Looking at the near-term, last update mentioned that there was a reasonable chance that any downside during Monday's session would merely mark a micro-degree fourth wave, and that's what it ended up being.  SPX may still have some fourth and fifth waves left to unravel:


In conclusion, thus far, the rally has overcome all resistance zones, but we are now effectively testing the all-time highs, so the most important test is now underway.  Trade safe.

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