Thursday, May 18, 2017

SPX, INDU, RUT, BKX Updates: Timing is Everything

Well, I'm pretty happy with the timing of Monday's update, and I hope my readers are too.  The warning signs I began seeing last month appear to have come to fruition, and it's hard to see yesterday's decline as anything other than a micro third wave, given how relentless it was.  On some markets, such as INDU and BKX, it may be a third wave at multiple degrees of trend, so this is a good wave to wait for clear bottom signals before attempting to get fancy and trade long against the near-term trend.

INDU's near-term chart shows how we may be inside a nest of (potentially) three first and second waves, which would make the current wave red iii of red 3 of blue 3/c.

BKX was warning us of problems back on April 30.  (Stockcharts is giving me grief and won't let me update this chart -- but it was labeled correctly on Monday, so there's not much to update, other than to delete the "or 2/b?"):

RUT was also warning us of potential problems a couple weeks ago:

And finally, I'm rather pleased with Monday's call for one final 4/5 unwind with a higher-high in SPX before a large reversal.  Considering other markets were already showing signs of heading lower, it wasn't the easiest call to expect a final higher-high for SPX alone:

In conclusion, the pending reversal I warned about in Monday's update showed up, and everything appears to be unfolding as suggested.  At the moment, there are no apparent signs of a bottom, and the odds are reasonable that we're only halfway through this decline.  Trade safe.

No comments:

Post a Comment