Wednesday, May 12, 2021

SPX Update

Yesterday, I posted a rare Tuesday update -- if you missed it, it's worth a gander and can be found here: Bears in the Running.

Before we get into the charts, I came across the following interesting graph in the Wall Street Journal:

I also found this headline (below), combined with the WSJ computer algorithm randomly pairing this recent video of "Gellin' Like" Janet Yellen, amusing.  Headline:  "Consumer Prices Jumped..." -- video title:  "Yellen Doesn't Anticipate Inflation to be a Problem."

These geniuses hold the American people's finances in their hands.

Chart-wise, let's start off with the legacy chart that, for a while, has suspected we'd visit 4100-10, and we finally (almost) got there:

Next, the updated chart from yesterday, which shows the bear count:

Finally, when we broke above the green trend line last month, I figured the market would want to retest it at some point (and said so on 4/9/21)... and yesterday, we did.  Now we find out if bears have more in the tank or not:

In conclusion, in a perfect world, I'd like to see SPX break yesterday's low, but I have a hard time banking on much in this wacky market.  Of note, ES (e-mini S&P futures) did make a new low during the overnight session (right into the 4100-10 target zone).  Basically, if bulls still have the ball, they could rally from current levels (or a bit lower) -- if bears have the ball now, then this thing is just getting warmed up.  We'll continue watching the inflection zones for clues.  Trade safe.

1 comment:

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