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Monday, June 29, 2026

SPX Update: Still on Guard

On Friday, SPX did "the thing" again, where it basically goes nowhere.  Accordingly, no real change since last update:



The triangle isn't off the table yet, though I redrew it slightly, to try to better align (what is essentially a guess) with the ever-changing variables:


Nothing else to add beyond that, really -- though bears should be modestly cautious for now, because in the event the first leg up was a W and the decline since was X, then the market would be forming a larger WXY and a trip back to that all-time high from here isn't impossible.  That would fit in the sense of explaining why this decline doesn't feel like a proper C wave, so worth keeping in mind.  Trade safe.

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