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Monday, September 28, 2026

SPX, COMPQ, TLT: TLT Finally Validates Expectations from 2022/2024

Quite a few readers have asked me to update my old bond chart, so I'll do that today and we'll look at that one last.  First, let's breeze through COMPQ and SPX, which haven't done much since Friday.  COMPQ first:



SPX has similar options:



Now the chart everyone's been asking for.  TLT has finally confirmed my long-term count -- the chart annotation has the latest:



Finally, here's a chart I published four years ago -- updated only with the latest changes to the chart itself.  I show this because looking at "what happened afterwards" can help people train their eye to visualize how these things progress:


Not much else to say beyond all that.  Trade safe.

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